Stories

Capital Flow

Shows how policy, balance sheets, market structure, and investor expectations transmit change across industries.

TSO / High confidence

Strait of Hormuz Tensions Drive Up Oil and the Dollar as Markets Reprice Inflation and Rate-Hike Expectations

Three Reuters reports point to the same broad theme: an escalation in Middle East tensions, and rumors of a blockade or disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, have pushed oil prices higher, strengthened the U.S. dollar, and reignited global inflation fears as well as expectations for central bank rate hikes. None of the three sources mention any testimony schedule for Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, so that background cannot be confirmed from the provided sources.

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TSO / High confidence

SpaceX IPO and AI mega-rounds drive U.S. venture capital market to record H1 2026, but gains are highly concentrated

PitchBook says U.S. venture investment reached $412.7 billion in the first half of 2026, with AI deals absorbing the vast majority of capital; SpaceX’s $1.7 trillion IPO was the quarter’s most important exit event. Together, the sources point to a record market size driven mainly by a handful of very large transactions. Reuters’ coverage of SpaceX-related market valuations is more cautious, suggesting that some high-valuation claims leave room for greater volatility.

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